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Using the Web to compete with established businesses was a pipe dream. It could never work. Why not Established businesses spent millions to get where they are, and they will not fall down and play dead just because some Web site comes along. If it were easy, you would have lots of Web competitors, and you would soon nd it dif cult. Furthermore, if it were easy, the established businesses could always beat you by doing exactly what you are trying to do, because they know a lot more about it than you do.

Then it began to rise at an accelerating rate, reaching a peak in June 1995, the early part of the out-of-sample period Thereafter, equity was close to flat The greatest gains in equity for the stop order occurred between June 1990 and May 1991, betweenMay 1993 and September 1993, and between January 1995 and June 1995 The last surge in equity was during the out-of-sample period Compared with the previous two models, there were fewer markets with consistent profitability across all or most of the order types Lumber was the only market that showed profitability across all three order types both in- and out-of-sample Unleaded Gasoline yielded profits across all three order types insample, and was highly profitable out-of-sample with entry at open or on stop Coffee and Cocoa were profitable for all order types in-sample, but profitable only for the stop order out-of-sample.

From the previous discussion, it is obvious that for most companies, Web sites cannot be successful sales channels to consumers for most of their products. They are primarily ordering vehicles and information providers. They may be excellent sales channels for spare parts and supplies and for obscure and slow-moving items that dealers will not stock. To think properly about the role of the Web site, we must begin to think of it as a cross between mass media ads, spare parts distributors, and customer service. The value of a manufacturer s consumer Web site today is estimated in Table 3-1. Table 3-1 Monthly Value of a Commercial Consumer Web Site

For the stop order, the NYFE, Silver, Palladium,.

Customers Visits per month Customers registered CSR time saved Data printed Rebate certi cates printed Certi cates redeemed Parts sold Total value 500,000 20,000 50,000 40,000 25,000 15,000 8,000 Rate $ 0.02 $ 1.00 $ 4.00 $ 2.00 $ 2.00 $64.00 $12.00 Value $ 10,000 $ 20,000 $ 200,000 $ 80,000 $ 50,000 $ 960,000 $ 96,000 $1,416,000

This book is intended to accomplish a systematic and detailed analysis of the individual components that make up a complete trading system. We are proposing nothing less than a scientific study of entries, exits, and other trading system elements. The basic substance of the scientific approach as applied herein is as f0110ws: 1. The object of study, in this case a trading system (or one or more of its elements), must be either directly or indirectly observable, preferably without dependence on subjective judgment, something easily achieved

Believe it or not, red wine makes my list of superfoods. The same phenolic compounds and flavonoids in chocolate are also present in wine, particularly red wine. In fact, a five-ounce glass of your favorite red wine has about the same amount of phenolic acid (200 mg) as a 1 -ounce bar of dark chocolate. White wine also contains many of the same protective phytochemicals as red wine but in lesser amounts.

Let s start one step up from the bottom: Parts sold Every Web site should sell spare parts and replacement items that dealers will not or cannot stock These parts are not a pro t center They are a reason for consumers to visit the site They can be the most important draw on any site and can turn existing customers into advocates To determine the value of parts sold, we have to consider three factors: The pro t made on the parts themselves, which may be quite low, depending on how you want to price them The acquisition of a customer name and email address, which can be valuable for marketing The goodwill and brand name publicity value of the site Certi cates redeemed.

with proper testing and simulation software when working with complete mechanical trading systems 2 An orderly means for assessing the behavior of the object of study must be available, which, in the case of trading systems, is back-testing over long periods of historical data, together with, if appropriate, the application of various models of statistical inference, the aim of the latter being to provide a fix or reckoning of how likely a system is to hold up in the future and on different samples of data 3 A method for making the investigative task tractable by holding most parameters and system components fixed while focusing upon the effects of manipulating only one or two critical elements at a time The structure of this book reflects the scientific approach in many ways Trading systems are dissected into entry and exit models.